{"id":1859,"date":"2013-11-21T10:00:52","date_gmt":"2013-11-21T18:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/?p=1859"},"modified":"2013-11-19T16:08:18","modified_gmt":"2013-11-20T00:08:18","slug":"project-cash-flow-not-just-profit-during-start-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/?p=1859","title":{"rendered":"Project cash flow &#8211; not just profit &#8211; during start-up."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cash is everything to a new business.\u00a0 How many times do we have to say this?\u00a0 The days of being able to trust that there will be an investor or lender on the other end of a call or email whenever needed ended with the 2000 and 2008 bursts of those respective bubbles.\u00a0 It\u2019s entirely possible that Amazon could not be created and funded today with its planned seven years until profitability.<\/p>\n<p>Early stage investors who take a chance on new businesses, often now plan their investments around the notion \u2013 or hope \u2013 that they can fund one or two rounds to lead the business to profitability.\u00a0 There is no longer a guarantee that VCs and later stage investors will be waiting at the run-out point of the angel money to pick up and grow the company.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/Starting_Up.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-916\" alt=\"Starting_Up\" src=\"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/Starting_Up-150x150.jpg\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a>Business plans that I see often show three to five years of projections, demonstrating profitability at the end of so many months of operation.\u00a0 Most every one of these uses an accrual basis for determining breakeven, never attempting to predict the cash impact of capital investment, slow collection times, large deposits upon leases, and other major items that consume cash.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><em>[ Email readers, continue here&#8230;]<\/em><\/span>\u00a0 Worse yet, most show rapid gains in revenues but do not account for the extra cash it takes for working capital to grow the business at the rate projected.\u00a0 If a business takes an average of sixty days to collect cash from the time it invests in the product with costs of inventory or labor, then shipping and billing, then the business will need increased working capital to pay its expenses including payroll while it waits for the cash to come in the door.<\/p>\n<p>Recast your projections using cash, not accrual, as the measure for planning. An accrual statement is nice to produce.\u00a0 It confirms that the business is capable of ultimately throwing off positive cash flow.\u00a0 But only accurate projections of cash by the week or month as appropriate will assure the survival of a business in a rapid growth cycle, or even a startup raising just enough to make it to breakeven.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cash is everything to a new business.\u00a0 How many times do we have to say this?\u00a0 The days of being able to trust that there will be an investor or lender on the other end of a call or email &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/?p=1859\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1859","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1859"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1859\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1859"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1859"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/berkonomics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1859"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}