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	Comments on: What if you don’t know what to ask?	</title>
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	<description>Dave Berkus&#039; business insights</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 17:49:59 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>
		By: Michael Flynn		</title>
		<link>https://berkonomics.com/?p=1699&#038;cpage=1#comment-8114</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Flynn]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 17:49:59 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Good point. Boards and C-Level execs, especially CEO, should have backgrounds from a broad range of experiences and perspectives. Makes me think of the difference between say Bill Gates and Steve Jobs...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good point. Boards and C-Level execs, especially CEO, should have backgrounds from a broad range of experiences and perspectives. Makes me think of the difference between say Bill Gates and Steve Jobs&#8230;</p>
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		<title>
		By: Russ Dollinger		</title>
		<link>https://berkonomics.com/?p=1699&#038;cpage=1#comment-8113</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Russ Dollinger]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 17:35:47 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[I think it boils down to a risk/reward calculation. Spending thousands of hours on an extremely unlikely event makes little sense. On the other extreme, ignoring the flow of current technology is just as unwise. And, that the rub. Is it art and/or magic to come up with the right balance and catch every black swan event?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think it boils down to a risk/reward calculation. Spending thousands of hours on an extremely unlikely event makes little sense. On the other extreme, ignoring the flow of current technology is just as unwise. And, that the rub. Is it art and/or magic to come up with the right balance and catch every black swan event?</p>
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		<title>
		By: Harry Keller		</title>
		<link>https://berkonomics.com/?p=1699&#038;cpage=1#comment-8110</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Harry Keller]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 16:35:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://berkonomics.com/?p=1699#comment-8110</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Reading speculative fiction certainly is a way to open our minds.  Going after specifics in these works can be a problem because as many ideas don&#039;t become reality as do, maybe even more.

For over a half-century speculative fiction has had future cities, maybe as far in the future for them as the year 2000, with flying cars and undersea communities.

Predictions about the future seem to fall into three categories.  The first are those with which CEOs must be very concerned.  These are the predictions that overestimate the time required for the new invention to appear and be widely adopted.

The second are those that come later than predicted but do come, often in a different manner than originally predicted but with the same impact.  These are not much of a worry.

The third are those that just never happen.  It may be due to technological issues, such as faster-than-light travel.  It may be due to societal issues.  Undersea cities come to mind.  It may just be simple economics so that, by the time the technology is available, something else is better.

This latter case is the one alluded to in the introductory email.

It&#039;s not enough just to open your mind.  You also must practice some serious critical thinking so that you&#039;re not protecting yourself from ghosts and using up valuable resources doing so.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Reading speculative fiction certainly is a way to open our minds.  Going after specifics in these works can be a problem because as many ideas don&#8217;t become reality as do, maybe even more.</p>
<p>For over a half-century speculative fiction has had future cities, maybe as far in the future for them as the year 2000, with flying cars and undersea communities.</p>
<p>Predictions about the future seem to fall into three categories.  The first are those with which CEOs must be very concerned.  These are the predictions that overestimate the time required for the new invention to appear and be widely adopted.</p>
<p>The second are those that come later than predicted but do come, often in a different manner than originally predicted but with the same impact.  These are not much of a worry.</p>
<p>The third are those that just never happen.  It may be due to technological issues, such as faster-than-light travel.  It may be due to societal issues.  Undersea cities come to mind.  It may just be simple economics so that, by the time the technology is available, something else is better.</p>
<p>This latter case is the one alluded to in the introductory email.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not enough just to open your mind.  You also must practice some serious critical thinking so that you&#8217;re not protecting yourself from ghosts and using up valuable resources doing so.</p>
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